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成品油調價或迎年內第五次擱淺

來源: 南方日報網絡版     時間: 2019年07月14日 07:28:25
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(原)(標)(題)(:國)(際)(油)(價)(波)(瀾)(不)(驚)(成)(品)(油)(調)(價)(或)(迎)(年)(內)(第)(五)(次)(擱)(淺)(
9月)(1日)(,我)(國)(將)(迎)(來)(今)(年)(第)(十)(七)(輪)(成)(品)(油)(調)(價)(時)(間)(窗)(口)(。近)(期)(國)(際)(油)(價)(波)(瀾)(不)(驚)(,我)(國)(成)(品)(油)(調)(價)(參)(照)(的)(原)(油)(變)(化)(率)(振)(幅)(微)(弱)(。專)(家)(預)(計)(,本)(輪)(成)(品)(油)(調)(價)(出)(現)(擱)(淺)(概)(率)(較)(大)(,或)(將)(是)(今)(年)(以)(來)(我)(國)(第)(五)(次)(成)(品)(油)(調)(價)(擱)(淺)(。
我)(國)(《石)(油)(價)(格)(管)(理)(辦)(法)(》規)(定)(,國)(內)(汽)(、柴)(油)(價)(格)(根)(據)(國)(際)(市)(場)(原)(油)(價)(格)(變)(化)(每)(10個)(工)(作)(日)(調)(整)(一)(次)(,調)(價)(生)(效)(時)(間)(為)(調)(價)(發)(布)(日)(24時)(。當)(調)(價)(幅)(度)(低)(于)(每)(噸)(50元)(時)(,不)(作)(調)(整)(,納)(入)(下)(次)(調)(價)(時)(累)(加)(或)(沖)(抵)(。
上)(一)(輪)(國)(內)(成)(品)(油)(調)(價)(時)(間)(窗)(口)(日)(是)(8月)(18日)(。由)(于)(國)(際)(油)(價)(走)(勢)(前)(高)(后)(低)(,最)(終)(調)(價)(遭)(遇)(擱)(淺)(。根)(據)(定)(價)(機)(制)(推)(算)(,本)(輪)(成)(品)(油)(調)(價)(時)(間)(窗)(口)(日)(是)(9月)(1日)(。
作)(為)(我)(國)(成)(品)(油)(調)(價)(的)(風)(向)(標)(,近)(期)(國)(際)(油)(價)(表)(現)(比)(較)(平)(穩)(,紐)(約)(原)(油)(期)(貨)(價)(格)(波)(動)(在)(每)(桶)(46美)(元)(至)(47美)(元)(附)(近)(,布)(倫)(特)(原)(油)(期)(貨)(價)(格)(波)(動)(在)(每)(桶)(51美)(元)(至)(52美)(元)(附)(近)(。
國)(際)(石)(油)(市)(場)(消)(息)(面)(喜)(憂)(參)(半)(。近)(日)(歐)(佩)(克)(與)(非)(歐)(佩)(克)(產)(油)(國)(聯)(合)(技)(術)(委)(員)(會)(宣)(布)(,7月)(份)(歐)(佩)(克)(減)(產)(執)(行)(率)(恢)(復)(到)(94%的)(高)(位)(水)(平)(。而)(前)(期)(其)(執)(行)(率)(一)(度)(跌)(至)(80%以)(下)(。另)(外)(,今)(年)(夏)(季)(油)(品)(需)(求)(旺)(季)(,原)(油)(庫)(存)(消)(化)(較)(快)(,美)(國)(原)(油)(庫)(存)(數)(據)(已)(連)(續)(九)(周)(下)(降)(。
前)(期)(持)(續)(增)(長)(的)(美)(國)(頁)(巖)(油)(生)(產)(在)(近)(兩)(周)(也)(出)(現)(放)(緩)(勢)(頭)(。美)(國)(油)(服)(公)(司)(貝)(克)(休)(斯)(發)(布)(數)(據)(顯)(示)(,截)(至)(8月)(25日)(當)(周)(,美)(國)(石)(油)(活)(躍)(鉆)(井)(數)(連)(續)(兩)(周)(減)(少)(,且)(創)(下)(2016年)(5月)(以)(來)(最)(大)(兩)(周)(跌)(幅)(。
專)(家)(認)(為)(,頁)(巖)(油)(增)(長)(勢)(頭)(放)(緩)(和)(當)(前)(國)(際)(油)(價)(走)(勢)(疲)(弱)(有)(很)(大)(關)(系)(。8月)(30日)(,紐)(約)(原)(油)(期)(貨)(價)(格)(已)(跌)(至)(每)(桶)(45.96美)(元)(。
BP集)(團)(首)(席)(經)(濟)(學)(家)(戴)(思)(攀)(認)(為)(,美)(國)(頁)(巖)(油)(產)(業)(在)(國)(際)(油)(價)(每)(桶)(45美)(元)(至)(50美)(元)(的)(價)(格)(區)(間)(內)(相)(對)(平)(穩)(。當)(國)(際)(油)(價)(跌)(至)(每)(桶)(45美)(元)(附)(近)(,其)(鉆)(井)(平)(臺)(數)(量)(就)(會)(有)(所)(下)(降)(。
但)(同)(時)(,也)(存)(在)(拖)(累)(國)(際)(油)(價)(上)(漲)(的)(因)(素)(。近)(期)(颶)(風)(“哈)(維)(”影)(響)(了)(美)(國)(海)(灣)(沿)(海)(煉)(油)(廠)(生)(產)(,進)(而)(影)(響)(原)(油)(需)(求)(。高)(盛)(最)(新)(數)(據)(顯)(示)(,受)(颶)(風)(影)(響)(,美)(國)(煉)(油)(產)(能)(關)(停)(約)(23%。有)(分)(析)(人)(士)(預)(計)(,由)(于)(風)(暴)(移)(動)(緩)(慢)(,煉)(油)(廠)(關)(閉)(時)(間)(會)(被)(延)(長)(。
安)(迅)(思)(能)(源)(研)(究)(中)(心)(總)(監)(李)(莉)(對)(近)(期)(國)(際)(油)(價)(判)(斷)(并)(不)(樂)(觀)(。她)(認)(為)(,當)(前)(全)(球)(市)(場)(依)(然)(供)(應)(充)(裕)(,國)(際)(油)(價)(上)(升)(動)(力)(不)(足)(,而)(且)(隨)(著)(夏)(季)(需)(求)(高)(峰)(逐)(漸)(淡)(去)(,后)(期)(國)(際)(油)(價)(仍)(存)(在)(一)(定)(下)(行)(風)(險)(。
對)(我)(國)(成)(品)(油)(市)(場)(而)(言)(,本)(輪)(調)(價)(周)(期)(內)(,國)(際)(油)(價)(波)(瀾)(不)(驚)(,我)(國)(成)(品)(油)(調)(價)(參)(照)(的)(原)(油)(變)(化)(率)(不)(足)(2%,對)(應)(的)(理)(論)(調)(價)(幅)(度)(或)(難)(以)(觸)(及)(每)(噸)(50元)(的)(調)(價)(門)(檻)(。
新)(華)(社)(石)(油)(價)(格)(系)(統)(8月)(31日)(發)(布)(的)(數)(據)(顯)(示)(,8月)(30日)(一)(攬)(子)(原)(油)(平)(均)(價)(格)(變)(化)(率)(為)(1.29%。8月)(31日)(是)(本)(計)(價)(周)(期)(的)(第)(九)(個)(工)(作)(日)(。根)(據)(當)(前)(一)(攬)(子)(原)(油)(變)(化)(率)(水)(平)(測)(算)(,本)(輪)(成)(品)(油)(調)(價)(出)(現)(擱)(淺)(概)(率)(較)(大)(。
安)(迅)(思)(31日)(發)(布)(的)(價)(格)(變)(化)(率)(指)(數)(為)(1.48%,對)(應)(的)(理)(論)(調)(價)(幅)(度)(為)(每)(噸)(5元)(,遠)(不)(及)(每)(噸)(50元)(的)(調)(價)(門)(檻)(線)(。
今)(年)(以)(來)(,我)(國)(成)(品)(油)(價)(格)(已)(經)(歷)(了)(六)(次)(上)(調)(、六)(次)(下)(調)(、四)(次)(擱)(淺)(,總)(體)(而)(言)(,成)(品)(油)(價)(格)(跌)(多)(漲)(少)(,汽)(、柴)(油)(價)(格)(累)(計)(分)(別)(下)(跌)(了)(每)(噸)(355元)(和)(340元)(。
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